Chinese academics and officials last week hosted a roundtable on Universal Basic Income with the United Nations Development Program in Beijing, suggesting China may be prepared to trial experiments on the social dividend in the same manner as countries such as Finland, Scotland and India.
In a sign of the major progress Universal Basic Income (UBI) has made in Asia, the United Nations Development Program (UNDP) in Beijing hosted a roundtable discussion on basic income last week. Professors from China’s most influential universities spoke at the roundtable about the potential for a basic income pilot program in China.
Patrick Haverman, UNDP Deputy Country Director for China, said he wants to work with academia and government to determine if basic income experiments in different areas of China are feasible.
“With the Sustainable Development Goals firmly focused on the need to ‘leave no one behind’, careful consideration of a wide variety of responses will be essential,” Haverman said during his opening remarks. ”It is very important that we can foster collaborative discussions around potential options to address poverty and inequality into the future, and the role of UBI should not be overlooked.”
The roundtable also discussed the benefits and likely challenges of implementing a UBI in China. A large topic was how UBI could improve on the dibao system, which is China’s means-tested unconditional cash transfer program. Dibao currently has issues with targeting subsidies toward people genuinely in poverty, a problem many participants at the roundtable noted UBI’s universality could potentially alleviate.
Shi Li, a professor at Beijing Normal University, said few Chinese people in poverty receive the dibao because of poor targeting. In his research, Li and other researchers found that nearly 88 percent of poor residents in China do not receive dibao stipends. Remarkably, administrative costs of means-testing these payments were three times more than the actual amount transferred.
The geography and economic disparities across the mainland mean it may be difficult to implement a national UBI that is not adjusted based on criteria related to area of residence, others noted.
The event was co-hosted by the International Labour Organization, which presented on the potential disruption of automation on employment. Haverman said an advantage in China is that smartphone penetration is high and many businesses now accept digital payments. This means it may be most efficient to send basic incomes to digital wallets.
“Almost everyone has a phone, so if we find a pilot zone I think we should take a look at it,” Haverman said.
Furui Cheng, an associate professor at China University of Political Science and Law’s Business School, said the China Basic Income/Social Dividend Research Network is working with UNDP to plan the next steps for a pilot program in China. She said the network is looking to work with local governments and raise money from technology companies.
“Basic income is the probable alternative for the future global social security system, which is facing unprecedented challenges,” Cheng said. “We shall learn from the experiences of global existing basic income.
Zhiyuan Cui, a professor at Tsinghua University, has written on how China could emulate the Alaska Permanent Fund to implement UBI. Cui explained that Jay Hammond, the Alaskan governor who created the Permanent Fund, said he often felt “closer to Beijing than Washington DC.”
Yang Tuan of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences said the size of China means it would be a good place “to come up with many types of experiments” for basic income. Tuan, who supported the implementation of dibao when she was working for China’s social security system, said the economic dynamics of China have changed since dibao started.
“[In the past] I have been against western mechanisms of social security,” she said. “But today I think the context of China is different.”
According to Haverman, the UNDP is planning to release up to three more working papers, addressing topics such as financing UBI in China, as well as its potential effect on work hours.
Earlier in October, a Taiwan-based advocacy group that aims to rally support for the implementation of an Unconditional Basic Income (UBI) in the country submitted a proposal outlining how a nationwide basic income might be feasible on the island.
UBI Taiwan said that the country’s extremely low tax rates opened several potential avenues for funding a UBI, including the implementation of a carbon tax, as well as options to raise income taxes or implement a land tax. The proposal was for NT$10,000 (US$332) per month and children NT$5,000 per month.
The group argued such a policy could help to alleviate income inequality, which has been growing steadily in Taiwan. It may also address some of the financial anxieties related to having children, which has created a demographic crisis on the island.
The original UNDP China working paper can be found here.